Institute FC 3-1 Bangor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.09/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/2.09
-15% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -38%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
224 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Bangor FC
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.10.2024 Bangor FC Bangor FC 3-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
20.04.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
21.10.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
02.09.2023 Bangor FC Bangor FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Bangor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC got the better of Bangor FC 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bangor FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Institute FC and 1.25 for Bangor FC.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Bangor FC?

Institute FC 3-1 Bangor FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Bangor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 28%, draw 25%, Bangor FC 47%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bangor FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangor FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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