Ballinamallard United 0-3 Annagh United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 25% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Annagh United EU Bookmakers 43%
-16% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.18/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.38
-30% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Annagh United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Annagh United Annagh United 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
02.12.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-0 HT 0-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
13.10.2023 Annagh United Annagh United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
25.03.2023 Annagh United Annagh United 0-2 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
02.01.2023 Annagh United Annagh United 4-0 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
08.10.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-3 HT 0-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Annagh United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annagh United cruised past Ballinamallard United 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Annagh United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Annagh United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.33 for Annagh United.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Annagh United?

Ballinamallard United 0-3 Annagh United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Annagh United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 36%, draw 29%, Annagh United 35%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
14 Dec 2024
18:00 Armagh City vs Dundela Analysis →
18:00 Ballyclare Comrades vs Limavady United Analysis →
18:00 Institute FC vs Bangor FC Analysis →
18:00 Harland & Wolff Welders vs Newington Youth Analysis →
18:00 Ards FC vs Newry City AFC Analysis →