Otelul Galati 1-1 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
44%
2.17
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
13%
5.07
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.17 — our 44% vs market 37.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
30%
-7.1pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.6pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Otelul Galati EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
0.82/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.09
-56% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
26.3 Crosses 14.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Otelul Galati
1W-2D-1L
AWAY UTA Arad
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-1 HT 0-1 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
25.04.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 3-1 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
13.11.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-4 HT 0-3 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
14.07.2023 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-1 HT 0-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Otelul Galati
1-1
AWAY UTA Arad
2.08 xG 1.16
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
327 Passes 175
70% Pass Accuracy 54%
30 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Otelul Galati vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Otelul Galati and UTA Arad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Otelul Galati at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Otelul Galati had 60% of the ball to UTA Arad's 40%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.08 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Otelul Galati and 1.75 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of Otelul Galati vs UTA Arad?

Otelul Galati 1-1 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Otelul Galati vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Otelul Galati win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Otelul Galati 50%, draw 23%, UTA Arad 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Otelul Galati), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Otelul Galati) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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