Universitatea Craiova 2-1 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
2.28/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.07
-3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
Crosses 12.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sepsi
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.00 xG 1.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-2 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
18.05.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 3-2 HT 0-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
21.04.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-3 HT 1-2 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
04.02.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-3 HT 1-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
16.09.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-1 HT 2-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
21.04.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-2 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
2-1
AWAY Sepsi
1.84 xG 1.52
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
435 Passes 275
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova edged past Sepsi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 58% of the ball to Sepsi's 42%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.84 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.17 for Sepsi.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Sepsi?

Universitatea Craiova 2-1 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 45%, draw 24%, Sepsi 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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