Universitatea Craiova 3-2 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
31%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.81
2-3 Goals
38%
2.05
4-5 Goals
33%
2.6
6+ Goals
10%
5.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
18%
+12.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -12%
1.81/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.40
+0% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sepsi
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 Passes 353
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-3 HT 1-2 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
04.02.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-3 HT 1-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
16.09.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-1 HT 2-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
21.04.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-2 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
29.10.2022 Sepsi Sepsi 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
15.07.2022 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-2 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
3-2
AWAY Sepsi
2.00 xG 1.35
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova edged past Sepsi 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.00 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.00 for Sepsi.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Sepsi?

Universitatea Craiova 3-2 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 48%, draw 21%, Sepsi 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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