Kryvbas KR 2-0 Karpaty Lviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.17/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.18
-21% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
12 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
11.08.2024 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 3-0 HT 2-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kryvbas KR
2-0
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
8 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty Lviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kryvbas KR beat Karpaty Lviv 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kryvbas KR as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 8-3.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty Lviv?

Kryvbas KR 2-0 Karpaty Lviv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty Lviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 42%, draw 31%, Karpaty Lviv 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kryvbas KR), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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