Zorya Luhansk 2-1 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.83/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.28
+16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
14.04.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
30.09.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-0 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
29.04.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 3-1 HT 2-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
18.10.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-4 HT 0-3 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
19.09.2021 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 3-0 HT 2-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zorya Luhansk
2-1
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
8 Total Shots 1
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zorya Luhansk nicked a narrow win over Chornomorets Odessa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zorya Luhansk as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, shots finished 8-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 0.17 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Zorya Luhansk 2-1 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 47%, draw 26%, Chornomorets Odessa 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKR More Ukraine - Premier League
14 Dec 2024
14:00 Oleksandria vs LNZ Cherkasy Analysis →
17:00 Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty Lviv Analysis →