Kisvarda 3-3 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 28% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.32/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.14
-16% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
28.1 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kisvarda
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 0.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
302 Passes 338
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2025 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-2 HT 0-2 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
02.03.2024 Kisvarda Kisvarda 1-0 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
05.11.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-1 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
30.07.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-2 HT 0-2 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
09.04.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-0 HT 0-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
08.11.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-3 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kisvarda
3-3
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.03 xG 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 5
337 Passes 408
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kisvarda vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kisvarda and Zalaegerszegi TE shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kisvarda at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kisvarda had 46% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 54%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.03 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kisvarda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kisvarda and 0.83 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Kisvarda vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Kisvarda 3-3 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kisvarda win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 41%, draw 24%, Zalaegerszegi TE 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kisvarda), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kisvarda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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