Ferencvaros 0-1 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
10%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-2.5pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.3pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.12/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.64
+15% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
27.2 Crosses 19.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Debrecen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.58 xG 1.23
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
426 Passes 226
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2025 Debrecen Debrecen 0-3 HT 0-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
09.03.2025 Debrecen Debrecen 0-1 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
05.12.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 5-4 HT 3-3 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
03.11.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-2 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
28.02.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-1 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MACK
10.02.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 1-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
0-1
AWAY Debrecen
1.39 xG 0.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
364 Passes 236
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 20
37 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen squeezed past Ferencvaros 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Ferencvaros carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 58% of the ball to Debrecen's 42%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.39 to 0.77 — on chances, Ferencvaros could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ferencvaros and 1.50 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Debrecen?

Ferencvaros 0-1 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 61%, draw 20%, Debrecen 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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