Debrecen 0-3 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
57%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.69
6+ Goals
9%
7.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
57%
Away Win
53%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
0.72/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.92
-1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 83%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
25.0 Crosses 22.0
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.40 xG 1.58
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
217 Passes 403
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Debrecen Debrecen 0-1 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
05.12.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 5-4 HT 3-3 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
03.11.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-2 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
28.02.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-1 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MACK
10.02.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 1-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
08.10.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-2 HT 2-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
0-3
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.82 xG 1.55
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
231 Passes 506
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros cruised past Debrecen 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Debrecen had 36% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 64%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.82 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Debrecen and 2.00 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Ferencvaros?

Debrecen 0-3 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 21%, draw 23%, Ferencvaros 57%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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