Debrecen vs Ferencvaros Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Debrecen v Ferencvaros — Team-Based Signals
Debrecen vs Ferencvaros Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Debrecen
MAC
1-3
HT 1-0
Debrecen
MAC
0-2
HT 0-1
Ferencvaros
MAC
Debrecen 5-4 Ferencvaros — Actual Match Statistics
Debrecen squeezed past Ferencvaros 5-4. The game was level at 3-3 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Ferencvaros carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Debrecen had 46% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 54%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 2.41 to 2.48.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Debrecen and 1.67 for Ferencvaros.
What was the final score of Debrecen vs Ferencvaros?
Debrecen 5-4 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Ferencvaros?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 20%, draw 22%, Ferencvaros 58%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ferencvaros), BTTS No went the other way.