Debrecen 1-1 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 28 Feb 2024

Debrecen
1-1 HT 0-1
Ferencvaros
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Hungary - Cup – 2023/2024

Debrecen vs Ferencvaros Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Debrecen v Ferencvaros — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 56%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.97/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.29
-2% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Debrecen vs Ferencvaros Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.30 xG 1.11
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
206 Passes 360
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 1-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
08.10.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-2 HT 2-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
20.05.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-3 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
26.02.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 0-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
09.10.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-0 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
09.04.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 2-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen and Ferencvaros shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ferencvaros at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Debrecen and 2.00 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Ferencvaros?

Debrecen 1-1 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 28%, draw 23%, Ferencvaros 50%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5
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