Kozarmisleny 0-3 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kozarmisleny EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +70%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kozarmisleny
0W-0D-3L
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 4.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 5-4 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny HAZ
05.03.2023 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny 0-3 HT 0-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC2
04.09.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 6-1 HT 3-0 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kozarmisleny
0-3
AWAY MTK Budapest
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kozarmisleny vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest cruised past Kozarmisleny 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MTK Budapest as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Kozarmisleny had 51% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 49%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kozarmisleny and 4.67 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Kozarmisleny vs MTK Budapest?

Kozarmisleny 0-3 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kozarmisleny vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated an MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kozarmisleny 31%, draw 22%, MTK Budapest 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MTK Budapest), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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