MTK Budapest 5-4 Kozarmisleny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.4pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kozarmisleny EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+59% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
493 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kozarmisleny
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2023 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny 0-3 HT 0-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC2
04.09.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 6-1 HT 3-0 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Kozarmisleny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest squeezed past Kozarmisleny 5-4. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MTK Budapest as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for MTK Budapest and 0.50 for Kozarmisleny.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Kozarmisleny?

MTK Budapest 5-4 Kozarmisleny in the Friendlies on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Kozarmisleny?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 47%, draw 19%, Kozarmisleny 34%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MTK Budapest), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✓ Over 2.5
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