Ferencvaros 2-2 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.29
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-11.1pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.0pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
2.32/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.46
+6% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 70%
36.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
25.0 Crosses 8.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Debrecen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.30
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
360 Passes 206
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.02.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-1 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MACK
10.02.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 1-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
08.10.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-2 HT 2-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
20.05.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-3 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
26.02.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 0-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
09.10.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-0 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
2-2
AWAY Debrecen
1.40 xG 1.09
78% Ball Possession 22%
21 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
639 Passes 133
90% Pass Accuracy 65%
43 Box Touches 13
44 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros and Debrecen couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Ferencvaros carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 78% of the ball to Debrecen's 22%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.40 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ferencvaros and 1.17 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Debrecen?

Ferencvaros 2-2 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 62%, draw 21%, Debrecen 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ferencvaros), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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