Paksi SE 3-4 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
2.16/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.16
+4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
28.8 Crosses 15.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Diosgyor
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
229 Passes 333
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-2 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
16.03.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
24.11.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 4-1 HT 3-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
12.08.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
11.04.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-4 HT 0-2 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
24.01.2021 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 2-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
3-4
AWAY Diosgyor
1.94 xG 2.78
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 Passes 169
76% Pass Accuracy 58%
44 Box Touches 31
48 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor nicked a narrow win over Paksi SE 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Paksi SE at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Paksi SE had 63% of the ball to Diosgyor's 37%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 1.94 to 2.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Paksi SE and 1.33 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Diosgyor?

Paksi SE 3-4 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 51%, draw 25%, Diosgyor 24%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Paksi SE), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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