MOL Fehervar 6-1 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 3 Nov 2024

MOL Fehervar
6-1 HT 1-1
Kecskemeti TE
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

MOL Fehervar vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MOL Fehervar v Kecskemeti TE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -26%
1.92/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.83
+8% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.2 Crosses 17.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

MOL Fehervar vs Kecskemeti TE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MOL Fehervar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.01 xG 1.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
317 Passes 344
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
28.07.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 0-0 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
16.03.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 0-1 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
26.11.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-3 HT 1-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
13.08.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-0 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
22.04.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-2 HT 0-2 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
29.01.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-1 HT 1-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC

MOL Fehervar 6-1 Kecskemeti TE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MOL Fehervar
6-1
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
2.29 xG 0.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
432 Passes 391
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MOL Fehervar vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar ran out comfortable winners over Kecskemeti TE 6-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MOL Fehervar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, MOL Fehervar had 52% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 48%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 2.29 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kecskemeti TE led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MOL Fehervar and 1.33 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs Kecskemeti TE?

MOL Fehervar 6-1 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 48%, draw 29%, Kecskemeti TE 22%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MOL Fehervar) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MOL Fehervar) ✗ BTTS No
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