Ayutthaya United 3-1 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2025

Ayutthaya United
3-1 HT 0-1
Bangkok United
📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Ayutthaya United vs Bangkok United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.5pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.6pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ayutthaya United v Bangkok United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayutthaya United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 51%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.82/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.67
+15% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +58%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
239 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 84%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
16.3 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Ayutthaya United 3-1 Bangkok United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayutthaya United
3-1
AWAY Bangkok United
1.24 xG 1.83
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
144 Passes 305
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ayutthaya United vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayutthaya United beat Bangkok United 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bangkok United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ayutthaya United had 37% of the ball to Bangkok United's 63%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.24 to 1.83 — on chances, Bangkok United could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Ayutthaya United vs Bangkok United?

Ayutthaya United 3-1 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayutthaya United vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ayutthaya United 31%, draw 19%, Bangkok United 50%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bangkok United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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