Buriram United 1-0 Thai Port FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.13/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.43
+18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.6 Crosses 19.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Thai Port FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.19 xG 0.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
371 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2025 Buriram United Buriram United 0-1 HT 0-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
12.09.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
12.05.2024 Buriram United Buriram United 1-1 HT 0-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
01.11.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 2-1 HT 1-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAYFK
19.11.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
19.02.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 2-1 HT 1-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
1-0
AWAY Thai Port FC
1.25 xG 0.40
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
375 Passes 240
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 8
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Thai Port FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United edged past Thai Port FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Buriram United had 61% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 39%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.25 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Buriram United and 0.83 for Thai Port FC.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Thai Port FC?

Buriram United 1-0 Thai Port FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Thai Port FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 55%, draw 26%, Thai Port FC 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
14 Dec 2025
14:00 Ayutthaya United vs Bangkok United Analysis →
15:00 BG Pathum United vs Muang Thong United Analysis →