Buriram United 0-1 Thai Port FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
78%
-13.0pp
20%
Draw
13%
+7.1pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.18/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.84
+42% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +49%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
412 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 76%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
22.8 Crosses 18.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Thai Port FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.96 xG 0.85
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
299 Passes 330
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.09.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
12.05.2024 Buriram United Buriram United 1-1 HT 0-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
01.11.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 2-1 HT 1-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAYFK
19.11.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
19.02.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 2-1 HT 1-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
10.10.2021 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
0-1
AWAY Thai Port FC
1.84 xG 1.10
76% Ball Possession 24%
25 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 4
559 Passes 137
89% Pass Accuracy 66%
55 Box Touches 10
51 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Thai Port FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC nicked a narrow win over Buriram United 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Buriram United at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Buriram United had 76% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 24%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 1.84 to 1.10 — the balance of chances actually favoured Buriram United.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Buriram United and 0.67 for Thai Port FC.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Thai Port FC?

Buriram United 0-1 Thai Port FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Thai Port FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 64%, draw 20%, Thai Port FC 15%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
2 Feb 2025
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