Sukhothai 1-3 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.6pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.6pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.2pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 51%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.21/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.02
+46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
14.8 Crosses 18.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Muang Thong United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.74 xG 1.88
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
206 Passes 463
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 4-2 HT 0-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
04.05.2024 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 5-0 HT 2-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
04.02.2023 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-1 HT 1-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
04.09.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-0 HT 0-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
1-3
AWAY Muang Thong United
0.57 xG 1.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
270 Passes 307
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United saw off Sukhothai 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sukhothai had 47% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 53%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.57 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sukhothai and 3.00 for Muang Thong United.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Muang Thong United?

Sukhothai 1-3 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 33%, draw 18%, Muang Thong United 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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