Chiangrai United 3-0 Nakhon Pathom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
20%
3.04
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.6pp
20%
Draw
29%
-9.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.95/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.27
-46% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
15.0 Crosses 13.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 0.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 Passes 237
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 2-1 HT 1-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
11.05.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
3-0
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
2.83 xG 0.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
223 Passes 240
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Nakhon Pathom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangrai United swept aside Nakhon Pathom 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chiangrai United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 49% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 51%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 2.83 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nakhon Pathom led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chiangrai United and 1.00 for Nakhon Pathom.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Nakhon Pathom?

Chiangrai United 3-0 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Nakhon Pathom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chiangrai United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 47%, draw 20%, Nakhon Pathom 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chiangrai United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chiangrai United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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