Bangkok United 2-1 Nakhon Ratchasima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
26%
5.15
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.2pp
26%
Draw
16%
+9.1pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.74/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.47
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
389 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 78%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
18.3 Crosses 14.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangkok United
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.42 xG 0.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
358 Passes 227
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
05.02.2023 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 0-4 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
03.09.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-0 HT 1-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
19.02.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 2-2 HT 2-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
09.10.2021 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 0-2 HT 0-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bangkok United
2-1
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
1.50 xG 0.51
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
462 Passes 212
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
40 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bangkok United vs Nakhon Ratchasima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United squeezed past Nakhon Ratchasima 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bangkok United had 65% of the ball to Nakhon Ratchasima's 35%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.50 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bangkok United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Bangkok United and 0.60 for Nakhon Ratchasima.

What was the final score of Bangkok United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Bangkok United 2-1 Nakhon Ratchasima in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 58%, draw 26%, Nakhon Ratchasima 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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