Everton vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Everton v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
Everton vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Everton 0-1 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa squeezed past Everton 1-0 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 50% to 50% in Everton's favour, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.14 to 1.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Everton against 2.00 for Aston Villa.
Everton vs Aston Villa Result & Final Score
Everton 0 - 1 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Everton vs Aston Villa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Everton 28%, draw 31%, Aston Villa 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.