Sydney (K) 2-0 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.74
Over 2.5
58%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.2pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
54%
-11.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
46%
+11.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.72/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.74
-30% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
12.3 Crosses 19.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
268 Passes 249
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.03.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
03.01.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
02.12.2018 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
15.12.2017 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
2-0
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.96 xG 0.46
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney (K) saw off Canberra United (K) 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sydney (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, expected goals 1.96 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Canberra United (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.00 for Canberra United (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Sydney (K) 2-0 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 47%, draw 19%, Canberra United (K) 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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