Go Ahead Eagles 3-1 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
7.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.71
1/2
5%
24.3
1/X
6%
12.0
X/1
9%
6.21
X/2
16%
5.93
X/X
16%
5.28
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
18%
3.45
2/X
5%
11.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.2pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.48/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.77
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Twente
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.96
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
284 Passes 421
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 40
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Twente Twente 3-2 HT 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
25.02.2024 Twente Twente 3-0 HT 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
03.12.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-3 HT 0-2 Twente Twente HOL
19.02.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 HT 2-0 Twente Twente HOL
06.11.2022 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
20.02.2022 Twente Twente 2-2 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
3-1
AWAY Twente
2.10 xG 1.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
23 Total Shots 24
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
381 Passes 363
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
40 Box Touches 30
27 Crosses 27
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles beat Twente 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Go Ahead Eagles made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 51% of the ball to Twente's 49%, shots finished 23-24, expected goals 2.10 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 2.00 for Twente.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs Twente?

Go Ahead Eagles 3-1 Twente in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 35%, draw 26%, Twente 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Twente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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