Twente 3-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
9.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.33
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.15
X/1
19%
4.49
X/2
8%
10.85
X/X
10%
6.51
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
10%
7.91
2/X
6%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +22%
1.89/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.76
-7% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
22.1 Crosses 18.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.72 xG 0.97
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
438 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2024 Twente Twente 3-0 HT 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
03.12.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-3 HT 0-2 Twente Twente HOL
19.02.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 HT 2-0 Twente Twente HOL
06.11.2022 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
20.02.2022 Twente Twente 2-2 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
05.12.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-2 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
3-2
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
2.20 xG 1.29
57% Ball Possession 43%
26 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 0
440 Passes 323
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
43 Box Touches 25
48 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Twente vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente squeezed past Go Ahead Eagles 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Twente had 57% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 43%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 2.20 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Twente and 1.17 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Twente vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Twente 3-2 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Twente 50%, draw 24%, Go Ahead Eagles 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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