Utrecht 2-5 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 1 Dec 2024

Utrecht
2-5 HT 1-1
PSV Eindhoven
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
46%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.63
Over 2.5
51%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.16
2-3 Goals
40%
2.1
4-5 Goals
25%
2.59
6+ Goals
13%
5.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
10.1
1/2
10%
22.55
1/X
7%
19.0
X/1
6%
15.2
X/2
17%
4.48
X/X
10%
8.37
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
19%
1.9
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
18.8
Value flag · 2/X at 18.8 — our 13% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+7.6pp
30%
Draw
20%
+10.2pp
46%
Away Win
64%
-17.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
34%
+14.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
66%
-14.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 69%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.86/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.86
+2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +23%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
224 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 86%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.9
16.7 Crosses 19.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
0W-2D-4L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.89 xG 2.06
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
282 Passes 454
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
12.08.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
19.02.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 2-2 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
16.10.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 6-1 HT 3-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
13.03.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 0-1 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
04.12.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-1 HT 2-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL

Utrecht 2-5 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
2-5
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.56 xG 2.71
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
215 Passes 494
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 33
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven ran out comfortable winners over Utrecht 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Utrecht had 35% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 65%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.56 to 2.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Utrecht and 2.67 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

Utrecht 2-5 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 24%, draw 30%, PSV Eindhoven 46%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
1 Dec 2024
16:30 AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Analysis →
16:30 Twente vs Go Ahead Eagles Analysis →
18:45 NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax Analysis →