AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Heracles — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Heracles
HOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Heracles
HOL
4-1
HT 2-1
Heracles
HOK
3-2
HT 1-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
5-0
HT 1-0
Heracles
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Heracles — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar squeezed past Heracles 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 63% of the ball to Heracles's 37%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.55 to 0.70.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.83 for Heracles.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles?
AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 63%, draw 22%, Heracles 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.