NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC Nijmegen v Ajax — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Ajax
HOL
1-0
HT 0-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Ajax
HOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Ajax
HOL
5-0
HT 5-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Ajax — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax nicked a narrow win over NEC Nijmegen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 51% of the ball to Ajax's 49%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 3.54 to 0.92 — the balance of chances actually favoured NEC Nijmegen.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 2.00 for Ajax.
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax?
NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 32%, draw 26%, Ajax 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.