Al Kholood 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
8.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 26% vs market 18.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.3pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-10.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 70%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
0.98/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.91
-100% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -19%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
234 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 81%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
9.9 Crosses 22.1
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
07.02.2023 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD1
05.09.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
1-0
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.90 xG 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
285 Passes 430
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood squeezed past Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Al Ahli Jeddah carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Kholood had 41% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 59%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 0.90 to 1.50 — on chances, Al Ahli Jeddah could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Kholood and 1.50 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Kholood 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 20%, draw 25%, Al Ahli Jeddah 55%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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