Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.61/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.49
+0% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.0 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.74 xG 1.03
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
479 Passes 250
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2024 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SAKK
03.04.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
05.10.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
2-1
AWAY Al Riyadh
0.87 xG 1.46
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
449 Passes 335
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 25
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh edged past Al Riyadh 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 55% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 45%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.87 to 1.46 — on chances, Al Riyadh could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 0.67 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Riyadh?

Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 53%, draw 23%, Al Riyadh 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
15 Jan 2025
18:30 Damac FC vs Al Ettifaq Analysis →
20:00 Al Kholood vs Al Ahli Jeddah Analysis →