Damac FC 0-3 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 15 Jan 2025

Damac FC
0-3 HT 0-2
Al Ettifaq
📅15/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Damac FC vs Al Ettifaq Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 28% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Damac FC v Al Ettifaq — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.49/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.38
+0% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
346 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 82%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.2 Crosses 18.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Damac FC vs Al Ettifaq Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Ettifaq
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 1.14
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
360 Passes 356
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
02.09.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 3-1 HT 2-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
28.04.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2-0 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
15.12.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
17.03.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
30.10.2021 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD

Damac FC 0-3 Al Ettifaq — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
0-3
AWAY Al Ettifaq
0.67 xG 2.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
313 Passes 252
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Ettifaq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq ran out comfortable winners over Damac FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Damac FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Damac FC had 55% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 45%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.67 to 2.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ettifaq led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Damac FC and 1.17 for Al Ettifaq.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Ettifaq?

Damac FC 0-3 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Ettifaq?

Before kick-off our model rated a Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 45%, draw 26%, Al Ettifaq 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Damac FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Damac FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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