Prachuap 1-1 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.0pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prachuap EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.40/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.62
+12% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
16.0 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prachuap
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sukhothai
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.53 xG 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
264 Passes 251
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-0 HT 2-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
21.04.2024 Prachuap Prachuap 2-1 HT 1-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
14.08.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 0-3 HT 0-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Prachuap
1-1
AWAY Sukhothai
1.09 xG 0.26
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
381 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 4
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Prachuap vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prachuap and Sukhothai couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Prachuap at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Prachuap had 54% of the ball to Sukhothai's 46%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.09 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Prachuap had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Prachuap and 1.00 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Prachuap vs Sukhothai?

Prachuap 1-1 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prachuap vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Prachuap win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Prachuap 55%, draw 26%, Sukhothai 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Prachuap), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Prachuap) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
15 Jan 2025
14:00 Thai Port FC vs Khonkaen Utd Analysis →
15:00 BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi Analysis →
15:00 Buriram United vs Chiangrai United Analysis →