BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BG Pathum United v Ratchaburi — Team-Based Signals
BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Ratchaburi
TAY
3-0
HT 1-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
1-1
HT 0-1
BG Pathum United
TAY
BG Pathum United 1-2 Ratchaburi — Actual Match Statistics
Ratchaburi edged past BG Pathum United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was BG Pathum United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, BG Pathum United had 53% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 47%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 1.09 to 0.71.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BG Pathum United and 1.80 for Ratchaburi.
What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi?
BG Pathum United 1-2 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi?
Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 41%, draw 29%, Ratchaburi 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.