Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ratchaburi v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals
Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Ratchaburi
TAY
3-0
HT 1-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
1-1
HT 0-1
BG Pathum United
TAY
Ratchaburi 4-1 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics
Ratchaburi swept aside BG Pathum United 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Ratchaburi made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Ratchaburi had 54% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 46%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.75 to 0.96.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.00 for BG Pathum United.
What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United?
Ratchaburi 4-1 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United?
Before kick-off our model rated an BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 37%, draw 24%, BG Pathum United 38%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (BG Pathum United), BTTS No went the other way.