Chiangrai United 0-5 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
12%
+6.3pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.9pp
57%
Away Win
70%
-13.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 75%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
0.66/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.73
-100% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
12.0 Crosses 20.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Buriram United
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.57 xG 1.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
282 Passes 350
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2024 Buriram United Buriram United 2-1 HT 1-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
09.11.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 4-1 HT 2-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
06.04.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 1-1 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
28.11.2021 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-1 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
0-5
AWAY Buriram United
0.15 xG 2.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
291 Passes 358
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
5 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United ran out comfortable winners over Chiangrai United 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 46% of the ball to Buriram United's 54%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.15 to 2.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Chiangrai United and 2.00 for Buriram United.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Buriram United?

Chiangrai United 0-5 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 18%, draw 25%, Buriram United 57%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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