Buriram United vs Chiangrai United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Buriram United v Chiangrai United — Team-Based Signals
Buriram United vs Chiangrai United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-0
Chiangrai United
TAY
1-1
HT 0-0
Chiangrai United
TAY
0-1
HT 0-0
Buriram United
TAY
Buriram United 2-1 Chiangrai United — Actual Match Statistics
Buriram United edged past Chiangrai United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Buriram United had 62% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 38%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.81 to 0.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Buriram United's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Buriram United and 0.67 for Chiangrai United.
What was the final score of Buriram United vs Chiangrai United?
Buriram United 2-1 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Chiangrai United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 66%, draw 21%, Chiangrai United 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.