Muang Thong United 3-1 Police Tero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 31 Mar 2024

Muang Thong United
3-1 HT 2-1
Police Tero
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Muang Thong United vs Police Tero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.0pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.7pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Muang Thong United v Police Tero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Police Tero EU Bookmakers 19%
+18% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
2.13/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.49
+52% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
16.3 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Muang Thong United vs Police Tero Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muang Thong United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Police Tero
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 0.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
369 Passes 233
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Police Tero Police Tero 2-1 HT 2-1 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
11.03.2023 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 1-0 HT 0-0 Police Tero Police Tero TAY
16.10.2022 Police Tero Police Tero 2-1 HT 1-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
06.03.2022 Police Tero Police Tero 0-2 HT 0-1 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY

Muang Thong United 3-1 Police Tero — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muang Thong United
3-1
AWAY Police Tero
1.32 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
386 Passes 343
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Muang Thong United vs Police Tero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United beat Police Tero 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Muang Thong United had 52% of the ball to Police Tero's 48%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.32 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Muang Thong United and 1.00 for Police Tero.

What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Police Tero?

Muang Thong United 3-1 Police Tero in the Thailand - 1st Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Police Tero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 55%, draw 24%, Police Tero 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✓ Over 2.5
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