Khonkaen Utd 2-1 Nakhon Pathom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.0pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khonkaen Utd EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 36%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.32/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.08
+42% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
21.2 Crosses 10.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khonkaen Utd
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
21.10.2023 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 4-2 HT 2-1 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khonkaen Utd
2-1
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
0.95 xG 0.89
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 2
339 Passes 180
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
13 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Khonkaen Utd vs Nakhon Pathom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khonkaen Utd nicked a narrow win over Nakhon Pathom 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Khonkaen Utd found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Khonkaen Utd had 61% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 39%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.95 to 0.89.

What was the final score of Khonkaen Utd vs Nakhon Pathom?

Khonkaen Utd 2-1 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - 1st Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khonkaen Utd vs Nakhon Pathom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khonkaen Utd win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Khonkaen Utd 38%, draw 25%, Nakhon Pathom 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khonkaen Utd) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khonkaen Utd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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