Birmingham 1-0 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.05
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.2
X/1
17%
3.87
X/2
10%
10.5
X/X
11%
4.98
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
9%
9.2
2/X
7%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +4%
1.60/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.51
-13% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 66%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
25.0 Crosses 15.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.10 xG 1.14
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 301
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İN1
13.08.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNLK
15.07.2020 Birmingham Birmingham 1-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
14.09.2019 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
02.04.2016 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
21.11.2015 Birmingham Birmingham 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
1-0
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.83 xG 0.35
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
266 Passes 190
70% Pass Accuracy 63%
18 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Birmingham vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham edged past Charlton Athletic 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Birmingham had 55% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 45%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.83 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Birmingham and 0.83 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Birmingham vs Charlton Athletic?

Birmingham 1-0 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 49%, draw 26%, Charlton Athletic 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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