Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlton Athletic v Birmingham — Team-Based Signals
Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Charlton Athletic
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Birmingham
İNCL
2-1
HT 1-1
Birmingham
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Charlton Athletic
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Charlton Athletic
İNCL
Charlton Athletic 1-0 Birmingham — Actual Match Statistics
Charlton Athletic nicked a narrow win over Birmingham 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Birmingham at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Charlton Athletic had 37% of the ball to Birmingham's 63%, shots finished 6-3, expected goals 0.79 to 0.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Charlton Athletic and 0.83 for Birmingham.
What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham?
Charlton Athletic 1-0 Birmingham in the England - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham?
Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 29%, draw 25%, Birmingham 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.