Bolton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bolton Wanderers v Shrewsbury — Team-Based Signals
Bolton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Bolton Wanderers
İN1
1-0
HT 0-0
Shrewsbury
İN1
3-2
HT 1-1
Bolton Wanderers
İN1
0-1
HT 0-0
Bolton Wanderers
İN1
Bolton Wanderers 2-2 Shrewsbury — Actual Match Statistics
Bolton Wanderers and Shrewsbury shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bolton Wanderers at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 72% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 28%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.21 to 0.55.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 0.83 for Shrewsbury.
What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury?
Bolton Wanderers 2-2 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 56%, draw 21%, Shrewsbury 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), BTTS No went the other way.