Bolton Wanderers 2-2 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 16 Apr 2024

Bolton Wanderers
2-2 HT 1-2
Shrewsbury
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Bolton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
18.8
X/1
14%
3.55
X/2
7%
14.6
X/X
10%
6.52
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
7%
11.6
2/X
5%
19.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-10.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bolton Wanderers v Shrewsbury — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 16%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.75/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.54
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +10%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
441 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 67%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
19.5 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Bolton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
353 Passes 226
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.11.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-2 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
22.04.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
10.12.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-2 HT 1-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
22.01.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
02.10.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
06.10.2020 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-1 HT 2-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNTK

Bolton Wanderers 2-2 Shrewsbury — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
2-2
AWAY Shrewsbury
2.24 xG 0.66
70% Ball Possession 30%
26 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 5
459 Passes 141
81% Pass Accuracy 61%
36 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers and Shrewsbury couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Bolton Wanderers carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 70% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 30%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 2.24 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.00 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury?

Bolton Wanderers 2-2 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 56%, draw 24%, Shrewsbury 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
16 Apr 2024
21:45 Peterborough United vs Fleetwood Town Analysis →
21:45 Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United Analysis →
21:45 Burton Albion vs Cheltenham Town Analysis →
21:45 Portsmouth vs Barnsley Analysis →
21:45 Port Vale vs Wycombe Wanderers Analysis →
21:45 Oxford United vs Lincoln City Analysis →