Portsmouth vs Barnsley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portsmouth v Barnsley — Team-Based Signals
Portsmouth vs Barnsley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-3
Portsmouth
İN1
3-1
HT 2-0
Portsmouth
İN1
1-1
HT 0-0
Barnsley
İN1
4-2
HT 2-0
Barnsley
FAK
0-0
HT 0-0
Barnsley
İN1
1-1
HT 0-1
Portsmouth
İN1
Portsmouth 3-2 Barnsley — Actual Match Statistics
Portsmouth nicked a narrow win over Barnsley 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Portsmouth as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Portsmouth had 46% of the ball to Barnsley's 54%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.61 to 1.92.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portsmouth had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portsmouth and 1.50 for Barnsley.
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Barnsley?
Portsmouth 3-2 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Barnsley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 41%, draw 26%, Barnsley 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portsmouth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.