Port Vale 1-2 Wycombe Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 29% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
10%
4.84
X/2
15%
6.12
X/X
13%
4.36
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
20%
4.52
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Vale EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.34/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.19
+7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
287 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 64%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
24.1 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Vale
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.02 xG 1.97
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
254 Passes 147
65% Pass Accuracy 52%
21 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
23.12.2023 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
04.02.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 0-3 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
01.11.2022 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 2-2 HT 1-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
24.03.2018 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
12.08.2017 Port Vale Port Vale 2-3 HT 0-3 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN2
27.04.2013 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Port Vale
1-2
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
1.51 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
246 Passes 219
65% Pass Accuracy 62%
31 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Port Vale vs Wycombe Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers edged past Port Vale 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Wycombe Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Port Vale had 52% of the ball to Wycombe Wanderers's 48%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.51 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wycombe Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Port Vale and 1.67 for Wycombe Wanderers.

What was the final score of Port Vale vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Port Vale 1-2 Wycombe Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 34%, draw 26%, Wycombe Wanderers 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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