Peterborough United 4-1 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 16 Apr 2024

Peterborough United
4-1 HT 1-1
Fleetwood Town
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Peterborough United vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.79
2-3 Goals
35%
2.04
4-5 Goals
27%
2.61
6+ Goals
11%
6.01
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.79 — our 27% vs market 12.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.3
X/1
14%
4.04
X/2
7%
10.7
X/X
9%
6.57
2/1
10%
19.8
2/2
11%
7.36
2/X
7%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-9.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.9pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.88/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.53
+22% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
25.3 Crosses 15.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Peterborough United vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 0.77
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
396 Passes 222
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
14.02.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
13.09.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
02.04.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
19.09.2020 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
15.02.2020 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1

Peterborough United 4-1 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
4-1
AWAY Fleetwood Town
2.79 xG 2.10
77% Ball Possession 23%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
652 Passes 132
89% Pass Accuracy 62%
32 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United ran out comfortable winners over Fleetwood Town 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Peterborough United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Peterborough United had 77% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 23%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.79 to 2.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Peterborough United and 0.83 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Fleetwood Town?

Peterborough United 4-1 Fleetwood Town in the England - 1st Division on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 52%, draw 24%, Fleetwood Town 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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