Oxford United vs Lincoln City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oxford United v Lincoln City — Team-Based Signals
Oxford United vs Lincoln City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Oxford United
İN1
1-0
HT 1-0
Oxford United
İN1
1-2
HT 0-2
Lincoln City
İN1
2-0
HT 1-0
Oxford United
İN1
3-1
HT 2-0
Lincoln City
İN1
2-1
HT 1-1
Lincoln City
İN1
Oxford United 0-1 Lincoln City — Actual Match Statistics
Lincoln City edged past Oxford United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Oxford United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Oxford United had 66% of the ball to Lincoln City's 34%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.50 to 1.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oxford United and 1.17 for Lincoln City.
What was the final score of Oxford United vs Lincoln City?
Oxford United 0-1 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Lincoln City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 43%, draw 25%, Lincoln City 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.