Shrewsbury 0-2 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 29% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.75
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1 EV+ ✗
15%
9.22
X/2
15%
4.24
X/X
13%
5.16
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.26
2/X
7%
13.5
Value flag · X/1 at 9.22 — our 15% vs market 7.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+10.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 57%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.36/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.95
-58% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -19%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
235 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.02 xG 1.26
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
190 Passes 390
65% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.04.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-2 HT 1-2 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
07.11.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-2 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
22.04.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
10.12.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-2 HT 1-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
22.01.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
02.10.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
0-2
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.67 xG 1.63
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
214 Passes 425
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers got the better of Shrewsbury 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 38% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 62%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.67 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.67 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Bolton Wanderers?

Shrewsbury 0-2 Bolton Wanderers in the England - League Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 32%, draw 25%, Bolton Wanderers 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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