Barrow 0-0 Derby County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 27 Aug 2024

Barrow
0-0 HT 0-0
Derby County
📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - League Cup – 2024/2025

Barrow vs Derby County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
23%
3.64
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 23% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.91
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
9%
8.13
X/2
15%
4.41
X/X
9%
4.9
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.5
2/X
10%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barrow v Derby County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
– Crosses 22.7
– Yellow Cards 1.6

Barrow vs Derby County Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Derby County
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.85 xG 1.38
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 11
212 Passes 561
72% Pass Accuracy 90%
3 Box Touches 28
1 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
05.09.2020 Derby County Derby County 0-0 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İNLK

Barrow 0-0 Derby County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
0-0
AWAY Derby County
0.46 xG 0.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
276 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Derby County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barrow and Derby County played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Derby County at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Barrow had 46% of the ball to Derby County's 54%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.46 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Derby County?

Barrow 0-0 Derby County in the England - League Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Derby County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Derby County win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Barrow 28%, draw 26%, Derby County 46%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Derby County)
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